Viva Las Vargas

Not too much excitement in this game as the Mets jumped out to a 4th inning 6-0 lead, and raised their win expectancy to 96.2% after David Wright's home run that plated the 6th run. The Dodgers would close the gap to 6-4 in the 6th inning raising their win expectancy to 22.4%. A two out strike out of Matt Kemp with runners on first and third killed the 6th inning rally and the Dodgers never had another close look at this game. Dodger manager Joe Torre continued the misuse of talented pitcher HongZhi Guo by bringing him to replace Brad Penny in the 5th inning with the Dodgers win expectancy at 11.8%.



Win Expectancy Graph



Win Expectancy / Leverage Index (Game Landmarks)
1st Highest Game WPA: .285 - David Wright
2nd Highest Game WPA: .142 - Claudio Vargas
3rd Highest Game WPA: .136 - Luis Castillo
Highest Dodgers LI at-bat: 2.38 - Matt Kemp, Top 6th, Strike Out.
Highest Cubs LI at-bat: 1.88 - Carlos Beltran, Bottom 1st, Force Out.
Largest WPA Play: .208 - David Wright, Bottom 3rd, Home Run.
Largest Negative WPA Play: -.067 - Matt Kemp, Top 6th, Strike Out.
80% WPA Threshold moment: Bottom 6th, Matt Kemp, Strike Out (Trail 6-4).
95% WPA Threshold moment: Bottom 7th, Brian Schneider, Single (Lead 8-4).

Performance Under Pressure
Team	AB	Hits	Walks	HRs	Ave	OBP	SLG	OPS
Dodgers	7	1	1	0	.143	.250	.143	.393
Cubs	4	1	0	0	.250	.250	.500	.750

Note: This study looks at all plate appearances in situations that have an above average leverage index (average is 1.00).