Rookie thirdbaseman Blake DeWitt capped off a nice Dodger comeback with a one out bases loaded walk off single in the bottom of the 9th inning. The game winning hit gave DeWitt the game's highest WPA (Win Probability Added) total for the night at .201, just barely beating out Matt Kemp's .199. DeWitt had both the most positive and negative WPA at-bat, charting a WPA of .164 in his walk off at-bat and a -.096 in a second inning rally killing double play ground ball. Brandon Phillips was the Reds biggest contributor, going 4 for 5 with a WPA of .158. Twice, the Dodgers hopes for winning this game looked bleak. The Reds win expectancy peaked at 85.5% in the top of the 3rd inning when Adam Dunn hit a two-run homerun to put the Reds up 4-0. The Dodgers would cut the margin to 4-2, and in the 4th inning the Dodgers win expectancy rose to 36.2% after a Matt Kemp leadoff single. The Dodgers would see that win expectancy number drop to 16.6% in the top of the 5th inning, after an RBI single from Adam Dunn. The Dodgers tied the game in the bottom of the 5th inning and the game remained tied until the bottom of the 9th inning, where Blake DeWitt drove in the winning run with a one out bases loaded single.
Win Expectancy Graph
Win Expectancy / Leverage Index (Game Landmarks)
1st Highest Game WPA: .201 - Russel Martin
2nd Highest Game WPA: .199 - Matt Kemp
3rd Highest Game WPA: .158 - Brandon Phillips
Highest Dodgers LI at-bat: 5.53 - Blake DeWitt, Bottom 9th, Single
Highest Reds LI at-bat: 2.91 - Joey Votto, Top 9th, Strikeout
Largest WPA Play: .164 - Blake DeWitt, Bottom 9th, Single
Largest Negative WPA Play: -.096 - Blake DeWitt, Bottom 2nd, Ground DP
80% WPA Threshold moment: Bottom 9th, Russel Martin, Single advanced on error (5-5 tie)
95% WPA Threshold moment: Bottom 9th, Blake DeWitt, Single (6-5 Win).
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